Combat Edge Intelligence

Gegard Mousasi vs Uriah Hall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Uriah Hall
jm

Uriah Hall

“Primetime”

17-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

49-9-2Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
42,0"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team JurojinTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Gegard Mousasi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Uriah Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gegard MousasiNow 1856
If they win+7→ 1863
If they lose-17→ 1839
Uriah HallNow 1697
If they win+17→ 1714
If they lose-7→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
69%
Strike defense
54%
1.59
Takedown avg.
0.54
60%
Takedown accuracy
39%
60%
Takedown defense
64%
1.15
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Gegard MousasiUriah Hall
1700180019002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

28 (57%)
KO/TKO
13 (76%)
12 (24%)
Submission
1 (6%)
9 (18%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Gegard Mousasi75%
Uriah Hall 25%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Gegard Mousasi a 75% favorite over Uriah Hall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Gegard Mousasi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1697, a 159-point edge.

Gegard Mousasi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Uriah Hall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gegard Mousasi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Uriah Hall 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.