Gegard Mousasi vs Vitor Belfort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
49-9-2Record26-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
42,0"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team JurojinTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gegard Mousasi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Vitor Belfort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1863
If they lose-17→ 1839
If they win+17→ 1736
If they lose-7→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gegard MousasiVitor Belfort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gegard Mousasi75%
Vitor Belfort 25%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Gegard Mousasi a 75% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Gegard Mousasi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1719, a 137-point edge.
Gegard Mousasi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gegard Mousasi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.
Gegard Mousasi and Vitor Belfort share 1 common opponent: Lyoto Machida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.