Combat Edge Intelligence

Geoff Neal vs Levan Chokheli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Geoff Neal
us

Geoff Neal

“Handz of Steel”

16-8-0WelterweightUFC

1692Good

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record15-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamPhoenix Sportakademie Kassel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Geoff NealNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Levan ChokheliNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.54
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
88%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.11
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Geoff NealLevan Chokheli
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
2 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Levan Chokheli60%
Geoff Neal 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Levan Chokheli a 60% favorite over Geoff Neal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Geoff Neal's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1690), separated by just 2 points.

Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Levan Chokheli enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Geoff Neal finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Levan Chokheli 80%.

Geoff Neal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.