Geoff Neal vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Geoff Neal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1711
If they lose-13→ 1679
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geoff NealNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny60%
Geoff Neal 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 60% favorite over Geoff Neal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1692, a 66-point edge.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geoff Neal finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Geoff Neal and Neil Magny share 2 common opponents: Carlos Prates and Ian Machado Garry.
Neil Magny carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.