Geoff Neal vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
Geoff Neal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1706
If they lose-19→ 1674
If they win+14→ 1638
If they lose-10→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geoff NealNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Neal72%
Niko Price 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Neal a 72% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Geoff Neal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1624, a 69-point edge.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Geoff Neal finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Geoff Neal and Niko Price share 1 common opponent: Vicente Luque.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.