Geoff Neal vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record32-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Geoff NealRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Neal60%
Rafael dos Anjos 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Neal a 60% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael dos Anjos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1698), separated by just 5 points.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Geoff Neal finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Geoff Neal and Rafael dos Anjos share 1 common opponent: Vicente Luque.
Geoff Neal carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.