Geoff Pavey vs Jeremiah Riggs
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record7-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight181 lbs
Sensei MMATeamSports Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1524
If they lose-25→ 1476
If they win+17→ 1506
If they lose-15→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geoff PaveyJeremiah Riggs
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Pavey83%
Jeremiah Riggs 17%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Pavey a 83% favorite over Jeremiah Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1489), separated by just 12 points.
Jeremiah Riggs enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Geoff Pavey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Riggs 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.