Geoff Pavey vs Jerron Peoples
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record4-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight180 lbs
Sensei MMATeamTeam Greatness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1526
If they lose-23→ 1478
If they win+23→ 1535
If they lose-25→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geoff PaveyJerron Peoples
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Geoff Pavey and Jerron Peoples within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1512), separated by just 11 points.
Jerron Peoples enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geoff Pavey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jerron Peoples 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.