Geoff Pavey vs Rakim Talley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record1-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Sensei MMATeamTeam Wildside
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1524
If they lose-25→ 1476
If they win+25→ 1518
If they lose-23→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geoff PaveyRakim Talley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Pavey62%
Rakim Talley 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Pavey a 62% favorite over Rakim Talley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1493), separated by just 8 points.
Geoff Pavey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.