Geoff Pavey vs Yaozong Hu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record3-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
-Reach72"
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sensei MMATeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1526
If they lose-23→ 1478
If they win+23→ 1533
If they lose-25→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geoff PaveyYaozong Hu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Geoff Pavey and Yaozong Hu within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1510), separated by just 9 points.
Yaozong Hu enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Geoff Pavey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yaozong Hu 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.