Combat Edge Intelligence

George Roop vs Hatsu Hioki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-13-1Record29-12-2
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Apex MMATeamAlive

What's at stake

Hatsu Hioki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — George Roop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

George RoopNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-8→ 1525
Hatsu HiokiNow 1640
If they win+8→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.43
Sig. strikes / min
2.42
34%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
61%
Strike defense
66%
1.05
Takedown avg.
2.55
57%
Takedown accuracy
57%
60%
Takedown defense
54%
0.09
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

George RoopHatsu Hioki
155016001650170020142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (17%)
4 (27%)
Submission
12 (41%)
7 (47%)
Decision
12 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Hatsu Hioki64%
George Roop 36%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Hatsu Hioki a 64% favorite over George Roop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Hatsu Hioki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1533, a 107-point edge.

George Roop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hatsu Hioki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

George Roop finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Hatsu Hioki 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.