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Combat Edge Intelligence

George Roop vs Shane Nelson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-13-1Record16-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Apex MMATeamBJ Penn's MMA

What's at stake

Shane Nelson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — George Roop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

George RoopNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-8→ 1525
Shane NelsonNow 1641
If they win+11→ 1652
If they lose-21→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.43
Sig. strikes / min
1.38
34%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
61%
Strike defense
61%
1.05
Takedown avg.
1.31
57%
Takedown accuracy
18%
60%
Takedown defense
55%
0.09
Submission avg.
1.64

Trajectory

George RoopShane Nelson
15501600165020122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
4 (27%)
Submission
3 (19%)
7 (47%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting George Roop and Shane Nelson within a point of even.

Shane Nelson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1533, a 108-point edge.

George Roop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

George Roop finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Shane Nelson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.