Combat Edge Intelligence

George Sotiropoulos vs Joe Lauzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — George Sotiropoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

George SotiropoulosNow 1585
If they win+19→ 1604
If they lose-13→ 1572
Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+10→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
27%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.39
68%
Strike defense
55%
2.43
Takedown avg.
2.39
31%
Takedown accuracy
45%
54%
Takedown defense
55%
1.71
Submission avg.
2.04

Trajectory

George SotiropoulosJoe Lauzon
1600165017002013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
9 (32%)
8 (57%)
Submission
17 (61%)
5 (36%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Lauzon61%
George Sotiropoulos 39%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 61% favorite over George Sotiropoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1585, a 64-point edge.

George Sotiropoulos enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

George Sotiropoulos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.