George Sotiropoulos vs Joe Stevenson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record33-16-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJoe Stevenson's Cobra Kai
What's at stake
Joe Stevenson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — George Sotiropoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1602
If they lose-15→ 1570
If they win+11→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
George SotiropoulosJoe Stevenson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Stevenson57%
George Sotiropoulos 43%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Stevenson a 57% favorite over George Sotiropoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Joe Stevenson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1585, a 30-point edge.
George Sotiropoulos enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
George Sotiropoulos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Joe Stevenson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.