Combat Edge Intelligence

George Sotiropoulos vs KJ Noons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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KJ Noons
us

KJ Noons

“King”

13-9-0WelterweightUFC

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record13-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach39.00
155 lbsWeight168 lbs
American Top TeamTeamThe Arena

What's at stake

KJ Noons is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — George Sotiropoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

George SotiropoulosNow 1585
If they win+18→ 1603
If they lose-14→ 1571
KJ NoonsNow 1629
If they win+14→ 1643
If they lose-18→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
27%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
68%
Strike defense
65%
2.43
Takedown avg.
0.08
31%
Takedown accuracy
20%
54%
Takedown defense
69%
1.71
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

George SotiropoulosKJ Noons
160016502013201420152016

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
8 (57%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (36%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

KJ Noons75%
George Sotiropoulos 25%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes KJ Noons a 75% favorite over George Sotiropoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

KJ Noons holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1585, a 44-point edge.

George Sotiropoulos enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

KJ Noons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

George Sotiropoulos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, KJ Noons 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.