Combat Edge Intelligence

George Sotiropoulos vs Kurt Pellegrino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

Kurt Pellegrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — George Sotiropoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

George SotiropoulosNow 1585
If they win+18→ 1603
If they lose-14→ 1571
Kurt PellegrinoNow 1619
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-18→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
27%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.94
68%
Strike defense
63%
2.43
Takedown avg.
2.90
31%
Takedown accuracy
55%
54%
Takedown defense
69%
1.71
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

George SotiropoulosKurt Pellegrino
1600165020102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
8 (57%)
Submission
10 (63%)
5 (36%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kurt Pellegrino64%
George Sotiropoulos 36%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 64% favorite over George Sotiropoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Kurt Pellegrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1585, a 34-point edge.

George Sotiropoulos enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

George Sotiropoulos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.