George Staines vs Jason Black
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record23-4-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight169 lbs
Hit Squad HullTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
George StainesJason Black
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
George Staines66%
Jason Black 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes George Staines a 66% favorite over Jason Black in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Black's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1718), separated by just 3 points.
George Staines enters on a 10-fight win streak.
George Staines finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Jason Black 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.