Combat Edge Intelligence

George Staines vs MarQuel Mederos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record12-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Hit Squad HullTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George StainesNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
MarQuel MederosNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.58
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

George StainesMarQuel Mederos
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (60%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting George Staines and MarQuel Mederos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1714), separated by just 1 points.

George Staines enters on a 10-fight win streak.

George Staines finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, MarQuel Mederos 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.