Combat Edge Intelligence

George Staines vs Mochamed Machaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'7"
-Reach-
156 lbsWeight148 lbs
Hit Squad HullTeamGym 23

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George StainesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Mochamed MachaevNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

George StainesMochamed Machaev
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (11%)
6 (60%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mochamed Machaev51%
George Staines 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mochamed Machaev a 51% favorite over George Staines in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1709), separated by just 2 points.

George Staines enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

George Staines finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mochamed Machaev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.