Combat Edge Intelligence

George Staines vs Nazareno Malegarie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record29-6-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
Hit Squad HullTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George StainesNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Nazareno MalegarieNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
TBD
Strike defense
70%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

George StainesNazareno Malegarie
160017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (17%)
3 (30%)
Submission
17 (59%)
6 (60%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

George Staines70%
Nazareno Malegarie 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes George Staines a 70% favorite over Nazareno Malegarie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nazareno Malegarie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1717), separated by just 2 points.

George Staines enters on a 10-fight win streak.

George Staines finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Nazareno Malegarie 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.