George Sullivan vs Justin Burlinson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73,5"Reach41,0"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamThe Dungeon BJJ and MMA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
George SullivanJustin Burlinson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Burlinson66%
George Sullivan 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Burlinson a 66% favorite over George Sullivan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans George Sullivan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.
George Sullivan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
George Sullivan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Justin Burlinson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.