Combat Edge Intelligence

George Sullivan vs Masayuki Kikuiri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record11-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73,5"Reach73"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamNever Quit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George SullivanNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Masayuki KikuiriNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
1.37
Takedown avg.
TBD
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.69
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

George SullivanMasayuki Kikuiri
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (42%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Masayuki Kikuiri66%
George Sullivan 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Masayuki Kikuiri a 66% favorite over George Sullivan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans George Sullivan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

George Sullivan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Masayuki Kikuiri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

George Sullivan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Masayuki Kikuiri 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.