Combat Edge Intelligence

George Sullivan vs Mickey Gall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record7-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
73,5"Reach74"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

George Sullivan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mickey Gall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

George SullivanNow 1646
If they win+9→ 1655
If they lose-15→ 1631
Mickey GallNow 1565
If they win+20→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
58%
Strike defense
50%
1.37
Takedown avg.
1.15
21%
Takedown accuracy
32%
38%
Takedown defense
38%
0.69
Submission avg.
1.58

Trajectory

George SullivanMickey Gall
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (86%)
8 (42%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

George Sullivan70%
Mickey Gall 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes George Sullivan a 70% favorite over Mickey Gall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

George Sullivan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1565, a 81-point edge.

George Sullivan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

George Sullivan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Mickey Gall 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.