George Sullivan vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73,5"Reach76"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
George Sullivan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1657
If they lose-13→ 1633
If they win+13→ 1636
If they lose-11→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
George SullivanNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price60%
George Sullivan 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 60% favorite over George Sullivan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans George Sullivan's way (47%).
George Sullivan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1623, a 23-point edge.
George Sullivan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
George Sullivan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Niko Price carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.