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Combat Edge Intelligence

George Sullivan vs Niko Price

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
us

Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73,5"Reach76"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamFutures MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George SullivanNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Niko PriceNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
5.11
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.57
58%
Strike defense
48%
1.37
Takedown avg.
1.06
21%
Takedown accuracy
10%
38%
Takedown defense
50%
0.69
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

George SullivanNiko Price
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (19%)
8 (42%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Price65%
George Sullivan 35%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 65% favorite over George Sullivan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans George Sullivan's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1638), separated by just 8 points.

George Sullivan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

George Sullivan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.

Niko Price carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.