George Sullivan vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
73,5"Reach75"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamFit NHB
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
George SullivanTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
George Sullivan63%
Tim Means 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes George Sullivan a 63% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.
George Sullivan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
George Sullivan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Tim Means carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.