Georges Eid vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
68"Reach70,0"
163 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar Gym LebanonTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Georges EidThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges Eid61%
Thiago Alves 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges Eid a 61% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Alves's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1572), separated by just 3 points.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Georges Eid finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Thiago Alves carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.