Combat Edge Intelligence

Georges St-Pierre vs Jake Shields

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-2-0Record33-11-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
76" ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jake Shields carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Georges St-PierreNow 1795
If they win+10→ 1805
If they lose-14→ 1781
Jake ShieldsNow 1734
If they win+14→ 1748
If they lose-10→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
54%
Strike accuracy
32%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.50
73%
Strike defense
56%
4.16
Takedown avg.
1.19
74%
Takedown accuracy
12%
84%
Takedown defense
36%
1.10
Submission avg.
0.12

Trajectory

Georges St-PierreJake Shields
1750180020172018

Win method breakdown

8 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (9%)
6 (23%)
Submission
12 (36%)
12 (46%)
Decision
18 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Georges St-Pierre78%
Jake Shields 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 78% favorite over Jake Shields in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1734, a 61-point edge.

Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Jake Shields 45%.

Georges St-Pierre and Jake Shields share 1 common opponent: Jon Fitch.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2008
Jon Fitch
Loss Decision · 2016