Combat Edge Intelligence

Georges St-Pierre vs Jason Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-2-0Record23-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
76" ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Mayhem

What's at stake

Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jason Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Georges St-PierreNow 1795
If they win+7→ 1802
If they lose-17→ 1778
Jason MillerNow 1627
If they win+17→ 1644
If they lose-7→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
1.45
54%
Strike accuracy
33%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.51
73%
Strike defense
49%
4.16
Takedown avg.
1.02
74%
Takedown accuracy
17%
84%
Takedown defense
44%
1.10
Submission avg.
1.28

Win method breakdown

8 (31%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
6 (23%)
Submission
14 (61%)
12 (46%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Georges St-Pierre84%
Jason Miller 16%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 84% favorite over Jason Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1627, a 168-point edge.

Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jason Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Jason Miller 83%.

Georges St-Pierre and Jason Miller share 2 common opponents: Michael Bisping and Jake Shields.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinSubmission · 2017
Michael Bisping
LossKO/TKO · 2011
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2011
Jake Shields
Loss Decision · 2009