Georges St-Pierre vs Jay Hieron
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-2-0Record23-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
76" ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jay Hieron carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1804
If they lose-15→ 1780
If they win+15→ 1735
If they lose-9→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Georges St-PierreJay Hieron
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges St-Pierre78%
Jay Hieron 22%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 78% favorite over Jay Hieron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1720, a 75-point edge.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jay Hieron enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Jay Hieron 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.