Combat Edge Intelligence

Georges St-Pierre vs Johny Hendricks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-2-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
76" Reach69,0"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Takedown

What's at stake

Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Johny Hendricks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Georges St-PierreNow 1795
If they win+9→ 1804
If they lose-15→ 1780
Johny HendricksNow 1705
If they win+15→ 1720
If they lose-9→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1723 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
54%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
73%
Strike defense
53%
4.16
Takedown avg.
3.83
74%
Takedown accuracy
47%
84%
Takedown defense
64%
1.10
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Georges St-PierreJohny Hendricks
170017501800201520162017

Win method breakdown

8 (31%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
6 (23%)
Submission
1 (6%)
12 (46%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Georges St-Pierre74%
Johny Hendricks 26%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 74% favorite over Johny Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1705, a 90-point edge.

Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Johny Hendricks 50%.

Georges St-Pierre carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.