Georges St-Pierre vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-2-0Record21-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
76" Reach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Kamaru Usman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Georges St-Pierre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1808
If they lose-11→ 1784
If they win+11→ 1821
If they lose-13→ 1797
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1799 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Georges St-PierreKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Georges St-Pierre and Kamaru Usman within a point of even.
Kamaru Usman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1810 to 1795, a 15-point edge.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.