Georges St-Pierre vs Matt Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-2-0Record45-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
76" Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamHIT Squad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783
If they win+12→ 1819
If they lose-12→ 1795
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Georges St-PierreMatt Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges St-Pierre76%
Matt Hughes 24%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 76% favorite over Matt Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hughes's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1795 vs 1807), separated by just 12 points.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Matt Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hughes 78%.
Georges St-Pierre and Matt Hughes share 3 common opponents: Josh Koscheck, Thiago Alves and BJ Penn.
Georges St-Pierre carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.