Georges St-Pierre vs Matt Serra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-2-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'6"
76" Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Matt Serra carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1801
If they lose-18→ 1777
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-8→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Georges St-PierreMatt Serra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges St-Pierre83%
Matt Serra 17%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 83% favorite over Matt Serra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1605, a 190-point edge.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Matt Serra 64%.
Georges St-Pierre carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.