Georges St-Pierre vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-2-0Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
76" Reach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nick Diaz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1806
If they lose-13→ 1782
If they win+13→ 1779
If they lose-11→ 1755
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Georges St-PierreNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Diaz55%
Georges St-Pierre 45%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 55% favorite over Georges St-Pierre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Georges St-Pierre's way (46%).
Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1766, a 29-point edge.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Nick Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Georges St-Pierre and Nick Diaz share 2 common opponents: Carlos Condit and BJ Penn.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.