Georges St-Pierre vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-2-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
76" Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Thiago Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1800
If they lose-19→ 1776
If they win+19→ 1591
If they lose-5→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Georges St-PierreThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges St-Pierre83%
Thiago Alves 17%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 83% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1572, a 223-point edge.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Georges St-Pierre and Thiago Alves share 1 common opponent: Carlos Condit.
Georges St-Pierre carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.