Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Harris vs John Salter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record19-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hurricane FitnessTeamGym-O

What's at stake

John Salter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gerald Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald HarrisNow 1661
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-10→ 1651
John SalterNow 1725
If they win+10→ 1735
If they lose-14→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.22
Sig. strikes / min
1.35
26%
Strike accuracy
24%
2.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
63%
Strike defense
69%
2.62
Takedown avg.
2.61
57%
Takedown accuracy
40%
73%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gerald HarrisJohn Salter
1650170017502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
2 (8%)
Submission
10 (53%)
9 (35%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

John Salter78%
Gerald Harris 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes John Salter a 78% favorite over Gerald Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

John Salter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1661, a 64-point edge.

Gerald Harris finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, John Salter 89%.

Gerald Harris and John Salter share 1 common opponent: Rafael Lovato Jr..

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Armbar · 2018
Rafael Lovato Jr.
Loss Rear Naked Choke · 2018