Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Harris vs Mario Miranda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hurricane FitnessTeamBlack House

What's at stake

Gerald Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mario Miranda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald HarrisNow 1661
If they win+10→ 1671
If they lose-14→ 1647
Mario MirandaNow 1615
If they win+18→ 1633
If they lose-14→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.22
Sig. strikes / min
1.96
26%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.46
63%
Strike defense
37%
2.62
Takedown avg.
1.02
57%
Takedown accuracy
60%
73%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gerald HarrisMario Miranda
16001650170020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
2 (8%)
Submission
5 (36%)
9 (35%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Gerald Harris60%
Mario Miranda 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Harris a 60% favorite over Mario Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Gerald Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1615, a 46-point edge.

Mario Miranda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gerald Harris finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mario Miranda 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.