Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Harris vs Robert Bryczek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record18-7-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hurricane FitnessTeamVeto Team Bielsko-Biala

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gerald HarrisNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Robert BryczekNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
26%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
63%
Strike defense
60%
2.62
Takedown avg.
0.56
57%
Takedown accuracy
100%
73%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gerald HarrisRobert Bryczek
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
2 (8%)
Submission
1 (6%)
9 (35%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Bryczek63%
Gerald Harris 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Bryczek a 63% favorite over Gerald Harris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gerald Harris's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.

Gerald Harris finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.