Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Joe Gigliotti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach39.00
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPower MMA Team

What's at stake

Gerald Meerschaert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Joe Gigliotti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+6→ 1656
If they lose-18→ 1632
Joe GigliottiNow 1470
If they win+35→ 1505
If they lose-13→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
1.04
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
53%
Strike defense
46%
1.82
Takedown avg.
1.56
30%
Takedown accuracy
100%
43%
Takedown defense
50%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertJoe Gigliotti
1500160017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
29 (78%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (5%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gerald Meerschaert75%
Joe Gigliotti 25%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 75% favorite over Joe Gigliotti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Gerald Meerschaert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1470, a 180-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Joe Gigliotti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Joe Gigliotti 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.