Gerald Meerschaert vs Kevin Holland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-22-0Record29-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach81"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPhalanx MMA Academy
What's at stake
Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1665
If they lose-9→ 1641
If they win+9→ 1745
If they lose-15→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gerald MeerschaertKevin Holland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland76%
Gerald Meerschaert 24%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 76% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1650, a 86-point edge.
Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.
Gerald Meerschaert and Kevin Holland share 2 common opponents: Michał Oleksiejczuk and Reinier de Ridder.
Kevin Holland carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.