Gerald Meerschaert vs Khamzat Chimaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-22-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Khamzat Chimaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1652
If they lose-6→ 1628
If they win+8→ 1836
If they lose-24→ 1804
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gerald MeerschaertKhamzat Chimaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev90%
Gerald Meerschaert 10%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 90% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Khamzat Chimaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1828 to 1634, a 194-point edge.
Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.
Gerald Meerschaert carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.