Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-10→ 1640
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+10→ 1715
If they lose-14→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
45%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
53%
Strike defense
60%
1.82
Takedown avg.
1.02
30%
Takedown accuracy
42%
43%
Takedown defense
53%
1.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertMichał Oleksiejczuk
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
29 (78%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (5%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk79%
Gerald Meerschaert 21%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 79% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1650, a 55-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.