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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1634
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-10→ 1624
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1697
If they win+10→ 1707
If they lose-14→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
45%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
54%
Strike defense
60%
1.70
Takedown avg.
1.02
7%
Takedown accuracy
42%
40%
Takedown defense
53%
1.49
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertMichał Oleksiejczuk
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
29 (78%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (5%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk71%
Gerald Meerschaert 29%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 71% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1634, a 63-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.