Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Reinier de Ridder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record21-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
77"Reach 78"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCombat Brothers

What's at stake

Reinier de Ridder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+15→ 1665
If they lose-9→ 1641
Reinier de RidderNow 1746
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-20→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
53%
Strike defense
47%
1.82
Takedown avg.
2.56
30%
Takedown accuracy
10%
43%
Takedown defense
40%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertReinier de Ridder
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
5 (24%)
29 (78%)
Submission
13 (62%)
2 (5%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Reinier de Ridder84%
Gerald Meerschaert 16%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Reinier de Ridder a 84% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Reinier de Ridder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1650, a 96-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Reinier de Ridder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.