Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Ryan Janes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach76.50
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts

What's at stake

Gerald Meerschaert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ryan Janes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+9→ 1659
If they lose-15→ 1635
Ryan JanesNow 1559
If they win+30→ 1589
If they lose-18→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
7.69
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.53
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.82
Takedown avg.
0.35
30%
Takedown accuracy
100%
43%
Takedown defense
58%
1.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertRyan Janes
150015501600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
29 (78%)
Submission
6 (60%)
2 (5%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Gerald Meerschaert72%
Ryan Janes 28%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 72% favorite over Ryan Janes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Gerald Meerschaert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1559, a 91-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Janes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.