Geraldo de Freitas Jr. vs Pedro Falcão
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
39,0"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Pedro Falcão
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Falcão59%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Falcão a 59% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pedro Falcão enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Falcão 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.