Geraldo de Freitas Jr. vs Takeya Mizugaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamHakkei Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Takeya Mizugaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geraldo de Freitas Jr.63%
Takeya Mizugaki 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Geraldo de Freitas Jr. a 63% favorite over Takeya Mizugaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.