Geraldo de Freitas Jr. vs Tony Gravely
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record23-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
39,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Tony Gravely is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Geraldo de Freitas Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1632
If they lose-13→ 1600
If they win+10→ 1694
If they lose-14→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Tony Gravely
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tony Gravely70%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Tony Gravely a 70% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Tony Gravely holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1613, a 71-point edge.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.