Germaine de Randamie vs Holly Holm
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record15-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Germaine de Randamie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Holly Holm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1682
If they lose-17→ 1650
If they win+17→ 1652
If they lose-15→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Germaine de RandamieHolly Holm
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Germaine de Randamie66%
Holly Holm 34%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Germaine de Randamie a 66% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Germaine de Randamie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1635, a 32-point edge.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Germaine de Randamie finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Holly Holm 53%.
Germaine de Randamie and Holly Holm share 2 common opponents: Amanda Nunes and Raquel Pennington.
Germaine de Randamie carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.