Combat Edge Intelligence

Germaine de Randamie vs Julianna Peña

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julianna Peña
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Julianna Peña

“The Venezuelan Vixen”

12-6-0Women's BantamweightUFC

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamSikJitsu

What's at stake

Germaine de Randamie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Julianna Peña carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Germaine de RandamieNow 1667
If they win+14→ 1681
If they lose-18→ 1649
Julianna PeñaNow 1633
If they win+18→ 1651
If they lose-14→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
47%
Strike accuracy
44%
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.56
65%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1.70
0%
Takedown accuracy
55%
65%
Takedown defense
24%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Germaine de RandamieJulianna Peña
1650202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (10%)
Submission
5 (42%)
5 (50%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Germaine de Randamie and Julianna Peña within a point of even.

Germaine de Randamie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1633, a 34-point edge.

Germaine de Randamie finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Julianna Peña 67%.

Germaine de Randamie and Julianna Peña share 2 common opponents: Amanda Nunes and Raquel Pennington.

Germaine de Randamie carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDEC · 2018
Raquel Pennington
WinDecision (Split) · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019
LossKO/TKO · 2013
Amanda Nunes
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
WinSubmission · 2021