Germaine de Randamie vs Larissa Pacheco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record23-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"Reach69.00"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamJoao Bastos Team
What's at stake
Larissa Pacheco is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Germaine de Randamie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1653
If they win+10→ 1722
If they lose-14→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Germaine de RandamieLarissa Pacheco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Larissa Pacheco72%
Germaine de Randamie 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Larissa Pacheco a 72% favorite over Germaine de Randamie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Larissa Pacheco holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1667, a 45-point edge.
Germaine de Randamie finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Larissa Pacheco 83%.
Germaine de Randamie carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.